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prediction
Brand Strategy & Analysis

Polymarket: Prediction Market or High-Tech Gambling?

Recently, a very unusual prediction market platform has gained widespread attention and sparked intense discussion.The platform is Polymarket, where users engage in behavior that looks almost like “betting.” Here’s a fitting example: “How many tweets will Elon Musk post this week?” This single question has reached $6.33M USD in market value on Polymarket. 来源:Polymarket So far this week, Musk has already posted 131 tweets. If you place a position on the “120–139” range right now, you only need $1 for a potential return of $166.来源:Polymarket More interestingly, a week ago, this range had a 99.9% predicted probability. As Musk kept posting and market sentiment shifted, the implied probability dropped to below 1%. The volatility is sharper than many stock markets. 来源:Polymarket This is how prediction markets work […]

2025-11-10 103hotness GoodsFox Read all
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